Saturday, October 16, 2004
Hope but little comfort
I am the wrong person to offer comfort - the book project I am working on
had the working title "worst case" and part of my dissertation research
years ago was to examine the possibility of a total breakdown of the Earth's
atmosphere.... The possibility indeed exists and it is difficult to figure
out the threshhold - that is the point of no return. According to some
models we already crossed it. According to the fossil fuel industry, it does
not even exist. But exist it does - that much is certain.
And indeed the world currently is not an a very promising part. Global
warming occurs much faster than believed, genetic engineering has totally
unpredictable side effects (think of the accidentelly produced killer virus
by Australian scientists Ian Ramshaw and Ronald Jackson lst year), the
economic development paradigm of the last 50 years has failed for the
majority of the world's population, we live in the time of one of the
largest and by far the fasted loss of biodiversity ever in the history of
life on Earth and soil erosion, chemical pollution, deforestation,
desertification, population growth, wars (mostly over money and resources),
organized crime and so forth. I was shocked for example to learn that world
wide some two million people die in car accidents every year. The source for
this is the WHO. What shocked me even more was the tone of the article. Thre
was no compassion for the victims, but concern about the negative economic
effects of lost productivity, especially in third world countries.
Well - life is suffering - at least it won't last forever ;-).
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